Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ajaccio: Robin Catry vs Mikail Alimli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dc8b15dfb3283378da1623463c0f5590fdb3ac8316156766a75a628b573cce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robin Catryof Robin Catry, Mikail Alimli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mikail Alimli | 48c | 2,041$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.41 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Robin Catry | 63c | 776.77$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.37 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Robin Catry | 26c | 574$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.39 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Mikail Alimli | 47c | 428.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Robin Catry | 62c | 253.73$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mikail Alimli | 39c | 251.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Robin Catry | 32c | 207$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Robin Catry | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Robin Catry | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Robin Catry | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Robin Catry | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Robin Catry | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Robin Catry | 33c | 180$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mikail Alimli | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Robin Catry | 63c | 161.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Robin Catry | 55c | 129.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Mikail Alimli | 57c | 122.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Robin Catry | 68c | 120.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mikail Alimli | 26c | 107.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mikail Alimli | 29c | 95.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Robin Catry | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Robin Catry | 35c | 86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Robin Catry | 35c | 86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Mikail Alimli | 30c | 79.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Mikail Alimli | 29c | 69.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Mikail Alimli | 62c | 61.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mikail Alimli | 29c | 57.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Mikail Alimli | 29c | 57.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Robin Catry | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Mikail Alimli | 42c | 53.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mikail Alimli | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Robin Catry | 52c | 49.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Robin Catry | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Robin Catry | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mikail Alimli | 70c | 33.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Mikail Alimli | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mikail Alimli | 72c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Robin Catry | 63c | 26.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.