NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e084afc4349f7339fcec41eaa839d39c4a9d37ff80facc338324f3e0bf55443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Devils | 53c | 15,000$7,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,941.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 47c | 12,416$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,521.58 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Senators | 48c | 9,339$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.56 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 47c | 7,920$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,197.75 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Devils | 52c | 6,093$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.24 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Devils | 22c | 4,339$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.45 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Devils | 54c | 4,119$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Devils | 53c | 3,513$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.16 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Senators | 47c | 2,956$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.5 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Senators | 47c | 2,640$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.13 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Devils | 53c | 2,229$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.05 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Senators | 47c | 2,116$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.54 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Senators | 45c | 1,881$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.5 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 48c | 1,818$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.45 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 47c | 1,085$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.87 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Devils | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.49 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 47c | 1,017$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.88 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Devils | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Devils | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Devils | 55c | 906.55$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Senators | 78c | 621.7$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Senators | 48c | 597.73$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.82 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 31c | 471.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Senators | 47c | 459.94$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.65 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Devils | 53c | 375$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators | 47c | 340$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Senators | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…f1a2backed Devils | 51c | 264$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…f342backed Senators | 49c | 264$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Senators | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Devils | 14c | 214.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Devils | 18c | 202.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Devils | 53c | 156.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Senators | 49c | 155.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Devils | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…371dbacked Senators | 46c | 116.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Senators | 47c | 109.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 49c | 101.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Devils | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Senators | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Devils | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Senators | 46c | 99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…3cbbbacked Senators | 47c | 98.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…3307backed Devils | 54c | 95.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…960dbacked Senators | 46c | 90.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…5db7backed Devils | 55c | 89.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…c389backed Devils | 55c | 89.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1700…da7fbacked Devils | 54c | 87.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…0ab6backed Senators | 47c | 85.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Senators | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Senators | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Senators | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Senators | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Devils | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Senators | 47c | 70.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Senators | 47c | 52.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Senators | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Devils | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…018fbacked Senators | 50c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Devils | 53c | 43.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Devils | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Senators | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…feffbacked Devils | 52c | 38.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86cd…bc62backed Senators | 46c | 37.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5c…8e16backed Devils | 52c | 37.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d0…5b66backed Devils | 52c | 36.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…c591backed Senators | 49c | 36.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9a…7033backed Senators | 50c | 36.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb62a…1233backed Devils | 52c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…fccdbacked Devils | 52c | 35.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047e…5e09backed Devils | 52c | 33.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…34e6backed Devils | 52c | 32.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Senators | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…e237backed Devils | 55c | 31.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Devils | 56c | 30.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…f4a8backed Devils | 52c | 30.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Devils | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Devils | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa6…f1febacked Devils | 55c | 26.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Senators | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Senators | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed9…cdc3backed Senators | 50c | 25.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Devils | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…dfeebacked Senators | 50c | 24.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…5c7fbacked Senators | 50c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8b…df60backed Senators | 49c | 23.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…b259backed Senators | 50c | 23.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Devils | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a61…b939backed Devils | 52c | 21.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…c94dbacked Devils | 52c | 21.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…1a4dbacked Senators | 50c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8d…7767backed Senators | 50c | 20.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…1bd7backed Devils | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.