Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dallas: Mitchell Krueger vs Gavin Young
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e7e55780d08264814546a297d8afe12be4829d7689d4b9fcf78649f62c1e421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gavin Youngof Mitchell Krueger, Gavin Young
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Mitchell Krueger | 60c | 10,879$6,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,503.54 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Gavin Young | 43c | 6,958$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.03 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…2f4bbacked Mitchell Krueger | 65c | 5,422$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Mitchell Krueger | 61c | 2,912$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.09 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gavin Young | 34c | 2,315$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.52 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…09cebacked Mitchell Krueger | 67c | 432.3$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.62 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Mitchell Krueger | 58c | 352.01$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mitchell Krueger | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mitchell Krueger | 63c | 332.05$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.54 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Mitchell Krueger | 60c | 323.32$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Mitchell Krueger | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gavin Young | 36c | 281.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Gavin Young | 43c | 255.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.87 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gavin Young | 30c | 253.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Gavin Young | 39c | 243.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Gavin Young | 38c | 220.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Mitchell Krueger | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Mitchell Krueger | 68c | 143.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Mitchell Krueger | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Gavin Young | 38c | 115.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Gavin Young | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Gavin Young | 30c | 100.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Mitchell Krueger | 62c | 96.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Gavin Young | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gavin Young | 33c | 89.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Mitchell Krueger | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gavin Young | 43c | 61.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Gavin Young | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…a8bbbacked Mitchell Krueger | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Mitchell Krueger | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Gavin Young | 41c | 39.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Gavin Young | 42c | 29.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Gavin Young | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Mitchell Krueger | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…1e16backed Mitchell Krueger | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Mitchell Krueger | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Mitchell Krueger | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.