Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: Rhys Lawlor vs Nicolas Tepmahc
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1e86dda12d190ded5ff626b64614595a662473ab8c6dc9bd63b5d98375bb07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Tepmahcof Rhys Lawlor, Nicolas Tepmahc
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6129…0807backed Rhys Lawlor | 22c | 13,486$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.02 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 73c | 3,842$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.82 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Tepmahc | 76c | 3,810$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.23 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 78c | 2,010$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.64 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 78c | 2,005$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.25 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Rhys Lawlor | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 641 | 47.7%306 W · 335 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Tepmahc | 78c | 1,995$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.9 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…d5c4backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 53c | 1,657$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.6 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Rhys Lawlor | 10c | 1,512$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Rhys Lawlor | 33c | 1,252$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.95 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rhys Lawlor | 25c | 1,015$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 71c | 767$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 67c | 728.25$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.01 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Nicolas Tepmahc | 66c | 677.66$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Rhys Lawlor | 27c | 657.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 73c | 553$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.31 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 73c | 535$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 466 | 58.6%273 W · 193 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rhys Lawlor | 56c | 525$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.25 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rhys Lawlor | 12c | 457.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rhys Lawlor | 27c | 396.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Rhys Lawlor | 27c | 290.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 319 | 42.6%136 W · 183 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Rhys Lawlor | 47c | 289.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Rhys Lawlor | 42c | 289$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Nicolas Tepmahc | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Rhys Lawlor | 40c | 282.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Rhys Lawlor | 31c | 174.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Nicolas Tepmahc | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Nicolas Tepmahc | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Rhys Lawlor | 18c | 98.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Rhys Lawlor | 51c | 90.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 56c | 87.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Rhys Lawlor | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Rhys Lawlor | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nicolas Tepmahc | 63c | 41.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Nicolas Tepmahc | 51c | 22.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 471 | 48.2%227 W · 244 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Nicolas Tepmahc | 71c | 19.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.