Fifa International · resolved market
Will Gonçalo Inácio be in Portugal's Starting 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fa71a65bdd46a4de175fbcba97284b5fd1d5b70a970599c6ecdd98f4a611d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked No | 17c | 265.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.87 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 19c | 216$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.25 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 65c | 139.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…0613backed No | 39c | 133.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 78c | 115$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53b…c7e6backed Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 61c | 59.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…344abacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 76c | 24.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gonçalo Inácio be in Portugal's Starting 11?this page
- Will Bernardo Silva be in Portugal's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo be in Portugal's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11?No won
- Will Francisco Conceição be in Portugal's Starting 11?No won
- Will Francisco Trincão be in Portugal's Starting 11?No won
- Will Gonçalo Ramos be in Portugal's Starting 11?No won
- Will João Cancelo be in Portugal's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will João Félix be in Portugal's Starting 11?No won
- Will Nélson Semedo be in Portugal's Starting 11?No won
- Will Pedro Neto be in Portugal's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?No won
- Will Renato Veiga be in Portugal's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Rui Silva be in Portugal's Starting 11?No won
- Will Rúben Dias be in Portugal's Starting 11?No won
- Will Rúben Neves be in Portugal's Starting 11?No won
- Will Tomás Araújo be in Portugal's Starting 11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.