TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Diogo Dalot be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,363 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes7c201.1$15 inLost-$14.6828731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes17c128.65$22 inLost-$21.8731520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked No76c107.14$81 inWon+$26.1417340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed Yes17c106$18 inLost-$18.085125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Yes15c86$13 inLost-$12.92528%7 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes44c77.05$34 inLost-$33.99548.4%46 W · 49 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed Yes17c70.14$12 inLost-$11.5911133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed No56c20$11 inWon+$8.82050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa87d…6871backed No53c20$11 inWon+$9.41090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+65.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.