Fifa International · resolved market
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0faaa7917d0783d7b4677fb889676701e0882174a8276a4decd222e33441d663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 21,281$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.82 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 78c | 6,427$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.35 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 22c | 3,143$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.33 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 22c | 1,249$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.02 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 23c | 1,030$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 22c | 731.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.9 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 79c | 432$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 216.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Over | 20c | 208.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 9c | 196.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Under | 77c | 189.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 22c | 165$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 160.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…d2bbbacked Under | 77c | 155.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Over | 22c | 148.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…6f28backed Under | 77c | 117.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 77c | 104.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 22c | 95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 23c | 88.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 26c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 23c | 71.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Under | 78c | 51.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 76c | 49.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 75c | 49.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 32c | 33.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5this page
- Cameroon vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.