Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Solid vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10032ed957fe00960aae4d1720861ceb2a71a1df429297bf697777864f86b73a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof Team Solid, Estral Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7689…af2abacked Team Solid | 2c | 2,470$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Team Solid | 25c | 2,291$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Team Solid | 2c | 1,427$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Solid | 21c | 1,186$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.02 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Estral Esports | 80c | 1,001$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 137 | 61.3%84 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Solid | 22c | 955.09$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.77 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…5c0bbacked Team Solid | 14c | 822.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Solid | 16c | 754.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Team Solid | 4c | 670.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Estral Esports | 75c | 650.3$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.57 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Estral Esports | 78c | 500.94$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…a6f7backed Estral Esports | 79c | 497.19$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Estral Esports | 79c | 496.83$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Solid | 20c | 479.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Estral Esports | 74c | 469.8$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…5a35backed Estral Esports | 75c | 463.53$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0bd8backed Team Solid | 14c | 437.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Estral Esports | 79c | 345.86$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Estral Esports | 78c | 335.58$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Solid | 14c | 332.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked Estral Esports | 79c | 296.85$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Solid | 17c | 290.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Solid | 21c | 234.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Estral Esports | 70c | 228.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed Team Solid | 22c | 207.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 348 | 44.8%156 W · 192 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed Estral Esports | 76c | 175.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Team Solid | 14c | 158.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Team Solid | 8c | 134.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Solid | 15c | 133.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Estral Esports | 79c | 133.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Team Solid | 22c | 129.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Team Solid | 17c | 127.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Team Solid | 12c | 110.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed Team Solid | 10c | 106.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Team Solid | 20c | 100.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Team Solid | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Team Solid | 25c | 97.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed Team Solid | 21c | 95.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Estral Esports | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Estral Esports | 77c | 84.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Team Solid | 18c | 81.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Solid | 14c | 78.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Team Solid | 21c | 74.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Team Solid | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Team Solid | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Team Solid | 21c | 63.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Estral Esports | 79c | 62.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…42abbacked Estral Esports | 80c | 62.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…426dbacked Team Solid | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Team Solid | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked Team Solid | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…c107backed Estral Esports | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Estral Esports | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed Estral Esports | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Estral Esports | 76c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89f…05e7backed Estral Esports | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Estral Esports | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Estral Esports | 80c | 21.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Estral Esports | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Estral Esports | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Estral Esports | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Estral Esports | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Estral Esports | 74c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Estral Esports | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.