TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe339…c107

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
23
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$14.86
Mexico City: Jay Clarke vs Matias Sotobacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Sarasota: Mitchell Krueger vs Hynek Bartonbacked Mitchell Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$4.57
Grand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$3.88
Miami Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Alicante: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Miami Open: Caty McNally vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$14.1
Miami Open: Alycia Parks vs Sinja Krausbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Miami Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$9.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.