TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UNCG Spartans vs. The Citadel Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The Citadel Bulldogsof UNCG Spartans, The Citadel Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,451
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,451 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa503…336cbacked The Citadel Bulldogs43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c56…f816backed The Citadel Bulldogs44c1,830$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed The Citadel Bulldogs24c820.4$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.422,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked The Citadel Bulldogs27c761.63$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.621,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed UNCG Spartans42c740.03$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4736942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aef…682dbacked UNCG Spartans57c645.3$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f5…0f37backed UNCG Spartans56c630$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd319…2a51backed UNCG Spartans57c625.88$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aff…524bbacked UNCG Spartans56c620$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d69…7d30backed UNCG Spartans57c588.82$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf656…0d07backed UNCG Spartans56c580$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed UNCG Spartans33c472.8$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.791,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UNCG Spartans76c466.31$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.235,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed UNCG Spartans50c440.08$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.262,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked The Citadel Bulldogs62c284.21$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4345351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed The Citadel Bulldogs28c238.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.866831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked UNCG Spartans45c229.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.514151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed The Citadel Bulldogs51c183.73$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.553,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked The Citadel Bulldogs61c164.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.471,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed UNCG Spartans39c163.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked The Citadel Bulldogs43c150.15$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.596753.7%36 W · 31 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed UNCG Spartans61c128.12$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7753646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked The Citadel Bulldogs55c114.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.461,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNCG Spartans45c106.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.211,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked The Citadel Bulldogs49c101.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.777361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed The Citadel Bulldogs33c81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9314643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed UNCG Spartans64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ed…86ddbacked UNCG Spartans57c69.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed UNCG Spartans46c68.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.231,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3de5…c157backed UNCG Spartans39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed The Citadel Bulldogs36c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.764658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed UNCG Spartans78c58.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.599848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UNCG Spartans52c53.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.961,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked The Citadel Bulldogs43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed UNCG Spartans68c41.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.298350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked UNCG Spartans57c38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.662254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed UNCG Spartans57c38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.662867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked UNCG Spartans57c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.092948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed UNCG Spartans51c35.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed UNCG Spartans57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.954047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed UNCG Spartans58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.452353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked The Citadel Bulldogs38c29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.984,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked The Citadel Bulldogs50c28.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed The Citadel Bulldogs72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UNCG Spartans58c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.022,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.