Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x103b3dccaef3976ca0cdebacafd1a59b56ccf4728ca8e4f1a3cde65e63a3c00b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 50c | 39,113$19,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,747.58 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 22,501$11,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,325.3 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 5,948$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.49 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 50c | 5,673$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.5 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 50c | 5,166$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 3,241$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.79 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…87aebacked Under | 50c | 2,140$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…fe3cbacked Over | 49c | 1,029$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 50c | 462.33$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 310.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 50c | 199.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 199.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 187.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 50c | 168.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 54c | 139.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 55c | 109.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 44c | 107.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04a…fa3ebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…e979backed Under | 56c | 100.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 49c | 85.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7241…dcc1backed Over | 50c | 58.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 52.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 49.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.