Tennis · resolved market
Kigali 2: Filip Jianu vs Zdenek Kolar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x103d226d089803fd74cb9c68065fe0a44fd61b23ae5ba9ed579af61c0231f952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zdenek Kolarof Filip Jianu, Zdenek Kolar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,503 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Filip Jianu | 14c | 2,183$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zdenek Kolar | 66c | 1,638$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Zdenek Kolar | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…1176backed Zdenek Kolar | 62c | 984.19$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Filip Jianu | 36c | 802.17$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Zdenek Kolar | 63c | 796.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.03 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Filip Jianu | 22c | 638.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Filip Jianu | 21c | 581$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Filip Jianu | 13c | 527$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Filip Jianu | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Filip Jianu | 41c | 509$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.69 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Zdenek Kolar | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Zdenek Kolar | 65c | 459.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Zdenek Kolar | 71c | 331.17$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Filip Jianu | 44c | 320.38$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Zdenek Kolar | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zdenek Kolar | 59c | 265$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…3c51backed Zdenek Kolar | 56c | 245.57$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Filip Jianu | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Filip Jianu | 13c | 234.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Zdenek Kolar | 78c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Filip Jianu | 28c | 197$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Zdenek Kolar | 66c | 163.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Zdenek Kolar | 61c | 163.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Filip Jianu | 20c | 157.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Filip Jianu | 8c | 156.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…be0cbacked Filip Jianu | 68c | 147.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Filip Jianu | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Zdenek Kolar | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Filip Jianu | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Filip Jianu | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Zdenek Kolar | 67c | 104.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Filip Jianu | 50c | 101.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Zdenek Kolar | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Filip Jianu | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Zdenek Kolar | 67c | 99.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Zdenek Kolar | 59c | 98.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Filip Jianu | 28c | 98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Filip Jianu | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf6…6e6ebacked Zdenek Kolar | 52c | 95.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zdenek Kolar | 34c | 88.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Zdenek Kolar | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Filip Jianu | 58c | 80.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Filip Jianu | 31c | 75.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Zdenek Kolar | 54c | 73.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Zdenek Kolar | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Zdenek Kolar | 60c | 68.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Zdenek Kolar | 66c | 68.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Filip Jianu | 16c | 67.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Filip Jianu | 21c | 66.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Zdenek Kolar | 48c | 55.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Filip Jianu | 40c | 51.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Filip Jianu | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Filip Jianu | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Filip Jianu | 28c | 37.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Filip Jianu | 54c | 34.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zdenek Kolar | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Zdenek Kolar | 76c | 28.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Zdenek Kolar | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Zdenek Kolar | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kigali 2: Filip Jianu vs Zdenek Kolarthis page
- Jianu vs. Kolar: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.