Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1075cc9a3be9461760e5f35877ceac9e7e6282cf4d147474cc83955383f50741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 17c | 10,395$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.4 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 20c | 7,227$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.63 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 24c | 2,509$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.27 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 9c | 1,791$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,501$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.02 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Yes | 79c | 1,240$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 16c | 945.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 11c | 872.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 76c | 758.46$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.03 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 24c | 602.43$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…ed54backed Yes | 77c | 447.89$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a8…3a61backed Yes | 79c | 372.35$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 79c | 344.3$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…d3a6backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…23f5backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 78c | 225.21$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 21c | 224.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 12c | 204.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 190$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 6c | 173.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 23c | 157.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…91d7backed Yes | 75c | 156.33$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 138.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 16c | 134.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…a894backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…4790backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…6be3backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…75d2backed Yes | 77c | 129.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…6b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…4cc3backed Yes | 79c | 113.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 79c | 102.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…d554backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 45c | 97.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Yes | 24c | 90.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…ba93backed Yes | 79c | 80.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 16c | 68.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…d692backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…b23fbacked Yes | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…cd4fbacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…ea26backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…a9d7backed Yes | 79c | 37.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…8748backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…694dbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…2306backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…7bdebacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…f2c1backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d29…aac5backed Yes | 79c | 14.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 74c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed Yes | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to win the second half?this page
- Saudi Arabia to win the second half?No won
- Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.