MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10802cd9056856a317fbd9e944e406c217fdf22d752e3058b54adef8eac63c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof KT Wiz, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked KT Wiz | 50c | 10,000$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.28 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 3,812$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.16 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 2,591$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.69 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 2,088$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked KT Wiz | 64c | 1,422$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 1,195$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 1,134$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b3…d21cbacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 1,093$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…8bdbbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 1,068$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 54c | 770.89$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.28 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked Doosan Bears | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Doosan Bears | 38c | 471.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.49 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 456.66$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 44c | 353.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Doosan Bears | 77c | 315.13$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed KT Wiz | 62c | 282.13$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 270.53$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…af19backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 239.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 234$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 220.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 44c | 211.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KT Wiz | 56c | 209.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…842dbacked Doosan Bears | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed KT Wiz | 56c | 176.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…22eabacked Doosan Bears | 36c | 153.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 140.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KT Wiz | 37c | 132.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked KT Wiz | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 63c | 113.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked KT Wiz | 53c | 107.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 59c | 100.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 93.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 92.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KT Wiz | 60c | 81.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed KT Wiz | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked KT Wiz | 46c | 60.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 56.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked KT Wiz | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked KT Wiz | 29c | 41.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KT Wiz | 46c | 40.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 38.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed KT Wiz | 61c | 34.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 32.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 32.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 61c | 30.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed KT Wiz | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed KT Wiz | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 29.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 29.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked KT Wiz | 63c | 27.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 27.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 25.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed KT Wiz | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed KT Wiz | 56c | 24.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed KT Wiz | 60c | 23.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KT Wiz | 63c | 21.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked KT Wiz | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.