CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x114649a28f1d7bf8cfd49d651034e7abfc9ccc8e1233853510853f8056186331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof megoshort, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,180 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked megoshort | 52c | 3,147$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.5 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Rebels Gaming | 50c | 1,693$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.7 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed megoshort | 51c | 785.78$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.95 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 44c | 665.89$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Rebels Gaming | 43c | 599.26$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.77 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Rebels Gaming | 54c | 554.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Rebels Gaming | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rebels Gaming | 57c | 312$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 298$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed megoshort | 43c | 272$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed megoshort | 20c | 256.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Rebels Gaming | 68c | 221.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Rebels Gaming | 54c | 169.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed megoshort | 34c | 154.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed megoshort | 39c | 151.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Rebels Gaming | 54c | 140$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed megoshort | 43c | 139.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Rebels Gaming | 61c | 138$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked megoshort | 45c | 126.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed megoshort | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Rebels Gaming | 61c | 89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Rebels Gaming | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Rebels Gaming | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked megoshort | 44c | 64.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Rebels Gaming | 55c | 63.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7f…85c3backed megoshort | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Rebels Gaming | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed megoshort | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Rebels Gaming | 74c | 48.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Rebels Gaming | 34c | 47.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked megoshort | 50c | 47.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked megoshort | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…c402backed Rebels Gaming | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed megoshort | 30c | 41.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Rebels Gaming | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Rebels Gaming | 60c | 39.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked megoshort | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed megoshort | 50c | 33.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…2251backed megoshort | 46c | 30.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rebels Gaming | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Rebels Gaming | 67c | 29.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…20d2backed megoshort | 58c | 22.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Rebels Gaming | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed Rebels Gaming | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Rebels Gaming | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Rebels Gaming - Map 1 WinnerRebels Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.