CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f6ef4b7c497afc01a8cc16968ade57e3da44460a555c01c9e53075c70e32bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Omega, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 3,003$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.73 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Omega | 53c | 2,386$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.53 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 706.31$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.28 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 440$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 51c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Omega | 52c | 384.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Omega | 48c | 272.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…d641backed Omega | 50c | 262.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Omega | 52c | 180$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Omega | 56c | 179.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…d1acbacked Omega | 51c | 175.3$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Omega | 51c | 138.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Omega | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Omega | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 46c | 95.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Omega | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 87.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Omega | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Omega | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Omega | 52c | 63.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 59.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Omega | 53c | 56.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 310 | 51.3%159 W · 151 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 56.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 336 | 50%168 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…6c8ebacked Omega | 72c | 41.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 40.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Omega | 51c | 35.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 35.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Omega | 49c | 26.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…5a13backed Omega | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Omega | 52c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.