CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x122e2acf7369a17c7ebf21fa7058da355aab0f1933a6e8e40183a9922cca329f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof ex-Zero Tenacity, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SAW | 45c | 1,462$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.7 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SAW | 36c | 1,396$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.26 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 63c | 1,003$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.74 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 14c | 550.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 64c | 517.86$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.21 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed SAW | 43c | 488.28$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.4 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SAW | 41c | 322.69$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 15c | 314.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed SAW | 32c | 150.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 130.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SAW | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 82.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 63.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 41c | 29.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 27.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed SAW | 56c | 24.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 59c | 17.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group CSAW won
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.