TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs SAW - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SAWof ex-Zero Tenacity, SAW
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbe9…b73dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity0c7,722$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked SAW54c3,876$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.633,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x824f…69bdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity55c3,500$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9254148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed ex-Zero Tenacity50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity44c1,846$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.2492456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed ex-Zero Tenacity45c1,800$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.3264058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SAW48c1,743$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.011,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed ex-Zero Tenacity34c1,654$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.924746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked SAW50c1,467$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.231,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed ex-Zero Tenacity58c1,372$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.3424551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed SAW51c1,241$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.5249646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed SAW45c1,094$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.944,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed SAW47c1,008$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.471,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SAW43c910.43$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.185,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked SAW24c767.3$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.1447147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51c…5bbcbacked SAW61c651.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.371457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed SAW46c536.36$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.786,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked SAW57c504.5$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.721146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed SAW33c496.76$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.752,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity61c460.37$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.747,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity10c457.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.721,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-Zero Tenacity38c306.04$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.614,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked SAW64c242.16$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1617449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked SAW26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14858343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed SAW65c196$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.655738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed ex-Zero Tenacity58c172$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7621247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity37c170.9$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2317545.7%80 W · 95 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked ex-Zero Tenacity41c160.7$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.948319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked SAW63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed SAW25c154.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7334036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked ex-Zero Tenacity68c130.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8355843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked SAW51c110.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.162,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8b…8caabacked ex-Zero Tenacity46c104.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed SAW66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed SAW32c87.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4280740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked SAW67c82.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.171942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed ex-Zero Tenacity21c74.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5841436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked ex-Zero Tenacity51c50.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.037745.5%35 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed SAW70c48.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5744244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed SAW25c46.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.32,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ex-Zero Tenacity37c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.952,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed ex-Zero Tenacity52c25.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.156232.3%20 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce12…0252backed SAW80c21.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.291573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ec…f993backed SAW52c20.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity52c20.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.582,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ex-Zero Tenacity69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed ex-Zero Tenacity62c17.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7424544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity61c16.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1521351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.