MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x129d20a39b2a1e69d22e77b791280add1d00ceb9cc0620e34a9eb3ec896b1673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 53c | 33,741$17,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,824.87 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 47c | 13,874$6,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,520.69 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Royals | 45c | 12,500$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.99 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Royals | 24c | 9,128$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.51 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 46c | 5,682$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Royals | 44c | 4,254$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.83 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 37c | 3,706$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 65c | 3,018$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royals | 5c | 2,621$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Royals | 21c | 2,490$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.9 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 24c | 2,387$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.68 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Royals | 5c | 2,016$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Royals | 35c | 1,632$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.65 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Dodgers | 49c | 1,561$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.92 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Royals | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Royals | 1c | 1,467$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers | 62c | 1,348$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.22 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Royals | 41c | 1,226$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Royals | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Dodgers | 78c | 1,021$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Dodgers | 51c | 999.93$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Royals | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 17c | 772.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Royals | 24c | 701.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.51 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers | 55c | 650$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Dodgers | 47c | 639.83$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.11 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…4038backed Dodgers | 56c | 605.02$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Dodgers | 55c | 545.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Dodgers | 51c | 521.57$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.57 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 24c | 498.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Dodgers | 64c | 486.13$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.31 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Royals | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 33c | 397$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 385$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Dodgers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Dodgers | 69c | 358.51$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers | 56c | 277.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 43c | 274.3$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Royals | 47c | 273.58$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers | 72c | 271.73$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Dodgers | 74c | 268.2$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 46c | 251.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Royals | 5c | 240.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 65c | 208.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dodgers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Dodgers | 67c | 197$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…5581backed Royals | 48c | 191.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Dodgers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Dodgers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Dodgers | 51c | 157$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed Dodgers | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals | 39c | 118.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Royals | 43c | 116.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Royals | 49c | 113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Dodgers | 57c | 107.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Dodgers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…a047backed Dodgers | 52c | 103.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Royals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Royals | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Royals | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…18fdbacked Royals | 49c | 99.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…23f2backed Dodgers | 53c | 92.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Royals | 46c | 92.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…57d6backed Royals | 49c | 92.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…17e5backed Royals | 49c | 90.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225d…30a8backed Dodgers | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…2469backed Dodgers | 52c | 87.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Royals | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Dodgers | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…1b48backed Dodgers | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Royals | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Dodgers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…d772backed Dodgers | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Royals | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Dodgers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Dodgers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Dodgers | 66c | 47.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 48c | 45.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Royals | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Royals | 48c | 40.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Dodgers | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…807cbacked Dodgers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…9e40backed Dodgers | 53c | 38.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Dodgers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Dodgers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed Royals | 49c | 37.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Dodgers | 54c | 36.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Dodgers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…eee1backed Dodgers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Dodgers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Dodgers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Royals | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Dodgers | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.