Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12c39c7137e44cbe8f3c0fdcfa785486f2c021aed613eaab4fab160591d3c334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 23c | 2,650$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.65 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 34c | 1,711$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.22 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 1,676$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 12c | 1,500$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 65c | 1,090$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.67 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 18c | 861.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 65c | 587.66$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.68 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 35c | 551.63$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 9c | 532.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 64c | 355.66$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 326.12$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 324.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 13c | 289.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 16c | 248.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 76c | 244.4$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 35c | 192.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 15c | 166.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked No | 12c | 151.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 146.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 13c | 140.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 64c | 119.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 114.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 10c | 114.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 9c | 108.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 35c | 104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 72c | 96.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked No | 27c | 87.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 59c | 86.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 18c | 74.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 16c | 70.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 19c | 64.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 36c | 60.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 35c | 34.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…2a5abacked Yes | 77c | 32.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 63c | 27.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf448…64cabacked Yes | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.