Asian League · resolved market
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1329e7e065ee260c89d917568d4ff009cf362b0e79d7ad260327d23023b6cd12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 13c | 2,375$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.65 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 46c | 2,102$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 1,425$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.97 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 25c | 975.95$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 436.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 79c | 230$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 228.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 15c | 224.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 12c | 195.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 182.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed No | 47c | 170.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Yes | 76c | 148.88$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 18c | 135$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f49…cc93backed Yes | 77c | 126.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 52c | 101.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 72c | 95.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 19c | 94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 79.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 19c | 77.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 58c | 77.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 64.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 63.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 53c | 61.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Yes | 78c | 49.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 22c | 48.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 58c | 43.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 41c | 28.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 80c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 77c | 18.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…2e72backed Yes | 78c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.