Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c80ec963fbf9c83bbbbecc1c9bda5b8df471e61e9d20b2c8aa6bc0d144993ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 4,751$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 2,818$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 1,850$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.46 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 79c | 1,640$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.99 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 79c | 910$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 79c | 699.97$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 78c | 499.96$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 79c | 399.98$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 79c | 399.98$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 79c | 299.96$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 21c | 237.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 228$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 79c | 156$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 79c | 156$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 21c | 153.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 107.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 103$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 17c | 91.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 21c | 76.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 21c | 68.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Yes | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 21c | 64.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…b5e3backed No | 80c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale end in a draw?No won
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.