South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1336e8a8462d729003564df1661cd5123e167a8e2b2f9e324cf9b4b426e591c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3389…5bcfbacked No | 78c | 2,823$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 79c | 2,707$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.03 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 2,466$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,595$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 21c | 718.63$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 609.09$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 575.88$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 21c | 558.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 21c | 399.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 352$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…ed8dbacked Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 237.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 229.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…16e3backed Yes | 24c | 158.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…e588backed Yes | 23c | 127.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 23c | 82.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…53dbbacked Yes | 15c | 81.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 77.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…93e8backed Yes | 23c | 65.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 79c | 63.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…3b1ebacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…adcdbacked No | 79c | 44.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 79c | 16.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 74c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 15.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 79c | 13.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.