CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1386b5bfa3aa9d82eae27a2c2d95ddeab293a73772e5c30cfcd02c827185e86c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Tricked, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tricked | 68c | 2,738$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.96 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Tricked | 43c | 1,905$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 1,542$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.2 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Tricked | 39c | 1,250$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 1,209$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ NXT | 19c | 1,132$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 1,012$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 633.78$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 587$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.28 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 45c | 436.84$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked MOUZ NXT | 25c | 411.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tricked | 40c | 361.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.09 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 332.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked MOUZ NXT | 54c | 327$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Tricked | 50c | 308.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 291$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tricked | 78c | 240.03$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ NXT | 61c | 236$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.95 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 232$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Tricked | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 205$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 143.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tricked | 61c | 98.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Tricked | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Tricked | 75c | 79.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Tricked | 38c | 69.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Tricked | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Tricked | 49c | 64.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Tricked | 68c | 63.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Tricked | 39c | 57.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Tricked | 49c | 54.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked | 59c | 52.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 48.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Tricked | 46c | 47.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Tricked | 68c | 45.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…5a63backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 43.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Tricked | 49c | 40.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Tricked | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 28.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4b…e869backed Tricked | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…203ebacked Tricked | 74c | 20.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Tricked | 66c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerTricked won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerTricked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.