CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13bc59cc072b8b1b4b438d58c7523bd77ba1846eab6e4c9ff97275b720ab17d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Isurus | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked Isurus | 7c | 1,026$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Isurus | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Isurus | 27c | 799.17$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.78 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Isurus | 16c | 607.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Isurus | 11c | 512.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Isurus | 18c | 457.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yawara Esports | 60c | 318.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Isurus | 16c | 310.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Yawara Esports | 61c | 248$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 240.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Isurus | 19c | 211.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Isurus | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Isurus | 23c | 184.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Isurus | 32c | 173.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Isurus | 18c | 164.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Isurus | 14c | 142.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Isurus | 19c | 109$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Isurus | 27c | 108.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 107.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Isurus | 30c | 106.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Isurus | 41c | 97.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Isurus | 20c | 88.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Yawara Esports | 55c | 87.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 85.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Isurus | 16c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Isurus | 31c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…b52dbacked Isurus | 35c | 82.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Isurus | 30c | 55.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 32 | 90.6%29 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 76cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Isurus | 33c | 45.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Yawara Esports | 62c | 41.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Isurus | 36c | 38.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Isurus | 32c | 36.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Yawara Esports | 80c | 34.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yawara Esports | 60c | 34.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Isurus | 49c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yawara Esports | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 26.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 20.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerIsurus won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.