CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47d3da72963275588b0787277c5308a1a2fa5aea8fb33668aea5b5c4745a5f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Yawara Esports, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 2,013$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.67 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Isurus | 38c | 1,406$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.72 | 229 | 41.9%96 W · 133 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yawara Esports | 11c | 1,019$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Isurus | 29c | 1,000$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.47 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed Isurus | 48c | 762.48$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.52 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Yawara Esports | 54c | 630.39$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.21 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked Yawara Esports | 6c | 616.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Isurus | 51c | 591.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.32 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed Yawara Esports | 14c | 480$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yawara Esports | 59c | 460.13$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.77 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 400$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.3 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Isurus | 54c | 263.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Yawara Esports | 7c | 241.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Yawara Esports | 7c | 241.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 234.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…77f3backed Isurus | 36c | 213.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yawara Esports | 70c | 182.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Isurus | 37c | 181$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Isurus | 54c | 176.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Isurus | 54c | 169$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus | 60c | 168$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 151.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a99…91a9backed Isurus | 62c | 143.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Isurus | 74c | 142.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 32 | 90.6%29 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 76cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 141.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Isurus | 63c | 136.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 135.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 133.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 131$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yawara Esports | 22c | 94.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yawara Esports | 59c | 74.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 73.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yawara Esports | 35c | 70.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Isurus | 52c | 58.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 38c | 56.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 53.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed Isurus | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yawara Esports | 26c | 44.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Isurus | 57c | 41.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yawara Esports | 43c | 41.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yawara Esports | 40c | 34.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Isurus | 68c | 32.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…f7e5backed Isurus | 50c | 31.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 20.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…d118backed Yawara Esports | 79c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 44 | 86.4%38 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group StageYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.