Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia Bronzetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x141f280c0c1250eb865765a792a6ccd3c02309bbae80b52f80d72d7c46edd104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucia Bronzettiof Justina Mikulskyte, Lucia Bronzetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Justina Mikulskyte | 2c | 15,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Justina Mikulskyte | 11c | 12,830$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.98 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Justina Mikulskyte | 6c | 2,410$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Justina Mikulskyte | 11c | 2,191$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Justina Mikulskyte | 14c | 2,119$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 15c | 1,753$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.91 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Justina Mikulskyte | 29c | 1,368$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.25 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Justina Mikulskyte | 14c | 1,000$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 10c | 999$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 7c | 664.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 5c | 644.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Justina Mikulskyte | 17c | 598.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Justina Mikulskyte | 17c | 386.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Justina Mikulskyte | 12c | 360$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Justina Mikulskyte | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Justina Mikulskyte | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 17c | 299.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Justina Mikulskyte | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Justina Mikulskyte | 12c | 223$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 16c | 217.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 15c | 216.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 11c | 198$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Justina Mikulskyte | 13c | 188.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Justina Mikulskyte | 28c | 146.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 27c | 145.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Justina Mikulskyte | 29c | 141.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 15c | 140.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 122.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Justina Mikulskyte | 16c | 122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Justina Mikulskyte | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Justina Mikulskyte | 16c | 96.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…8323backed Justina Mikulskyte | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Justina Mikulskyte | 14c | 81.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Justina Mikulskyte | 16c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Justina Mikulskyte | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.