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Fifa International · resolved market

Will Syria win on 2026-06-05?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,770 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes2c10,763$242 inLost-$241.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes1c5,342$68 inLost-$68.394,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes20c2,072$421 inLost-$420.5530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes3c1,326$45 inLost-$44.5651429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes4c517$21 inLost-$20.6810550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Yes20c369.71$74 inLost-$74.214235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No80c332.95$265 inWon+$67.541,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No79c238$188 inWon+$49.983,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c166.94$33 inLost-$33.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes21c146.11$30 inLost-$3019225%48 W · 144 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes18c138.18$25 inLost-$24.6837950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes19c137.46$26 inLost-$26.1223732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No79c117.11$93 inWon+$24.5933350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No80c105.72$85 inWon+$21.1434330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f5…c7c6backed Yes20c104.97$21 inLost-$21633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-49.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes20c100$20 inLost-$2017630.1%53 W · 123 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No78c97$76 inWon+$21.3415947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No80c95.41$76 inWon+$19.3118246.2%84 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes19c80.87$15 inLost-$15.371,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x946b…3ffabacked Yes22c68.35$15 inLost-$15.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes22c65.45$14 inLost-$14.41,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74e…6215backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No78c45.08$35 inWon+$9.6920862%129 W · 79 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No79c30.24$24 inWon+$6.3534438.4%132 W · 212 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No77c18.35$14 inWon+$4.225957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No80c14.99$12 inWon+$3.0523552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.