Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belarus vs. Syria end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe80a7424c04c38bc7114c2b8500a4b91b4503e4251b28a390e987fae1e90b12d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 9c | 1,633$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 1,048$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.57 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 28c | 315$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 73c | 168.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 25c | 147.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes | 29c | 145.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f5…c7c6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 27c | 121.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 117.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 113.31$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 112.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 73c | 95.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 66.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 69c | 57.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 74c | 30.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 73c | 23.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 75c | 18.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 74c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belarus vs. Syria end in a draw?this page
- Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
- Will Syria win on 2026-06-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.