Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14801afa476bb0f4d623a0c3de1862332aeeb31d26f7ed8643f786b7c8b03b81

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, MODUS
Resolved: Apr 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,846 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rune Eaters	53c	3,123$1,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,480.62	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MODUS	46c	1,881$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.03	713	42.5%303 W · 410 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters	58c	1,077$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.38	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Rune Eaters	68c	1,062$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.59	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS	45c	1,026$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.26	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked MODUS	38c	705.58$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.37	292	40.4%118 W · 174 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MODUS	36c	660.12$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.27	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rune Eaters	54c	518$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.53	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS	45c	506.03$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.47	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked MODUS	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	450	52.4%236 W · 214 L	+13.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS	49c	492.23$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.54	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Rune Eaters	59c	488.13$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.24	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked MODUS	66c	386.64$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.63	119	60.5%72 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed MODUS	51c	380.63$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.12	305	34.4%105 W · 200 L	-14.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked MODUS	61c	356.57$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rune Eaters	55c	270.14$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.11	913	56.1%512 W · 401 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Rune Eaters	56c	248.95$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.54	153	42.5%65 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked MODUS	44c	224.19$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.79	138	50%69 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Rune Eaters	67c	223.29$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.9	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Rune Eaters	59c	208.67$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.58	150	64.7%97 W · 53 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters	63c	195.38$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.01	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed Rune Eaters	42c	183.85$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.63	121	36.4%44 W · 77 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked MODUS	55c	171.6$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.38	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d5…dc17backed MODUS	43c	171.13$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	73	76.7%56 W · 17 L	+6.8wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked Rune Eaters	50c	148.41$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.67	159	42.8%68 W · 91 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked MODUS	46c	141.9$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.27	700	52.3%366 W · 334 L	+47.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Rune Eaters	57c	131.27$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.69	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters	31c	127.59$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.03	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e2b…19a4backed MODUS	52c	112.1$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.27	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	-9.6wins	-0.23per pick	35cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Rune Eaters	66c	110.61$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.61	367	59.1%217 W · 150 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked MODUS	26c	107$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.29	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked MODUS	45c	100.66$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.45	735	54.7%402 W · 333 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Rune Eaters	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MODUS	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed MODUS	50c	97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Rune Eaters	64c	96.45$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.09	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked MODUS	45c	95.73$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.08	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked MODUS	43c	90.6$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	958	41.1%394 W · 564 L	+32.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MODUS	29c	86.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters	50c	72$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.96	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed MODUS	40c	69.3$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.61	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked MODUS	44c	67.65$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.77	582	50.5%294 W · 288 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3188…870bbacked Rune Eaters	28c	66.97$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.35	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Rune Eaters	65c	59.88$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.68	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed MODUS	43c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.47	507	57.4%291 W · 216 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked MODUS	67c	56.36$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.76	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb4…9ed0backed Rune Eaters	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369a…66dcbacked Rune Eaters	71c	48.04$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.11	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked MODUS	57c	45.28$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.81	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed MODUS	47c	43.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Rune Eaters	57c	35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.05	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Rune Eaters	55c	34$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.14	653	37.2%243 W · 410 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked MODUS	59c	33.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	405	39.3%159 W · 246 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Rune Eaters	56c	31.03$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	273	57.1%156 W · 117 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Rune Eaters	48c	21.93$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	122	63.9%78 W · 44 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Rune Eaters	66c	21.26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.13	208	58.7%122 W · 86 L	+22.1wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Rune Eaters	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	793	43.6%346 W · 447 L	+38.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Rune Eaters	61c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.98	354	30.5%108 W · 246 L	-27.2wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Athis page
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerMODUS won
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event