TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Yu Ning Tsai

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kayo Nishimuraof Kayo Nishimura, Yu Ning Tsai
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yu Ning Tsai24c26,682$6,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,417.888,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yu Ning Tsai25c6,761$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.462,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Yu Ning Tsai30c5,916$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.8714246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kayo Nishimura73c3,924$2,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.128,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Kayo Nishimura76c3,828$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.641,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0e…6afdbacked Kayo Nishimura70c3,674$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.283354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3054…055bbacked Kayo Nishimura71c1,866$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.9213752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yu Ning Tsai26c1,741$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.321,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Yu Ning Tsai40c1,725$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69022056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yu Ning Tsai25c1,692$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.092,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yu Ning Tsai25c1,673$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.941,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yu Ning Tsai26c1,664$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5673951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yu Ning Tsai10c1,577$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yu Ning Tsai22c1,568$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.051,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Yu Ning Tsai34c1,516$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.9637235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yu Ning Tsai26c1,156$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kayo Nishimura67c1,088$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.737,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kayo Nishimura73c921.88$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.486,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yu Ning Tsai26c873.58$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.911,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Kayo Nishimura71c857.75$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.931,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yu Ning Tsai26c828.84$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.734,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yu Ning Tsai23c691.26$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.255,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yu Ning Tsai30c654.71$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6538141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Kayo Nishimura69c460.55$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9896945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Kayo Nishimura76c409$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6272755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Kayo Nishimura46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2168045%36 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Kayo Nishimura75c398.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.496049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Kayo Nishimura77c386$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.341,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Kayo Nishimura74c348.26$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.81,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Yu Ning Tsai24c307.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d45…b9b3backed Kayo Nishimura79c304.05$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.051560%9 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yu Ning Tsai21c261.37$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.098442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc59…5857backed Kayo Nishimura79c238.13$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Kayo Nishimura46c202$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0810036%36 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Kayo Nishimura51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811443.9%50 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Kayo Nishimura49c173$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3748738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd59…c0cfbacked Yu Ning Tsai14c148.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.76933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Kayo Nishimura71c147.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9185348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Kayo Nishimura46c146$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.547732.5%25 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Kayo Nishimura69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.954,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Kayo Nishimura70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8623754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Kayo Nishimura70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8687854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Yu Ning Tsai13c135.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6455032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Yu Ning Tsai21c135.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4115440.9%63 W · 91 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yu Ning Tsai13c129.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.441,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Yu Ning Tsai13c127.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5552910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Kayo Nishimura79c126.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7157950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Kayo Nishimura46c120.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.379044.4%40 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Kayo Nishimura60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4041644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Kayo Nishimura73c93.92$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.551,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Yu Ning Tsai11c92.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.232,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Kayo Nishimura51c91$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.597240.3%29 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Kayo Nishimura79c86.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5575350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Kayo Nishimura76c81.17$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8343552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yu Ning Tsai22c76.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.053,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kayo Nishimura75c75.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.951,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Yu Ning Tsai20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc06b…76ddbacked Kayo Nishimura67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.638050%40 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73c3…fd98backed Kayo Nishimura70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.439354.8%51 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Kayo Nishimura70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4394255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2e…9d98backed Kayo Nishimura70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.437361.6%45 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Kayo Nishimura72c69.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6892355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Kayo Nishimura74c67.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.439657.3%55 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Kayo Nishimura51c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.348341%34 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Kayo Nishimura51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9530040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd2…87f4backed Kayo Nishimura51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9515838%60 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Kayo Nishimura51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9515340.5%62 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…85d5backed Kayo Nishimura74c49.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Kayo Nishimura67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7892554.8%507 W · 418 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9dd…13a2backed Kayo Nishimura70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8624557.6%141 W · 104 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Yu Ning Tsai27c42.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.513063.1%82 W · 48 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b8…0effbacked Kayo Nishimura70c42.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.552365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Kayo Nishimura72c41.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5630755%169 W · 138 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Kayo Nishimura76c41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7427353.1%145 W · 128 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Kayo Nishimura71c40.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5242359.1%250 W · 173 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Kayo Nishimura79c37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.721,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Kayo Nishimura72c28.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7524748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd436…18a9backed Kayo Nishimura72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0412550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Kayo Nishimura69c20.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.551,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d8…400bbacked Kayo Nishimura63c20.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6334627.7%96 W · 250 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9935…a6b4backed Kayo Nishimura72c20.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.635455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Kayo Nishimura62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Kayo Nishimura63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.452157%297 W · 224 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Kayo Nishimura73c19.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3428264.2%181 W · 101 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked Kayo Nishimura74c18.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.685461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Kayo Nishimura66c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3914852%77 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.