Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1583b98bb8d08ba62e7d380667dbf36f46aa14b23892f2d7dc0e869d2417eb04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Over | 53c | 17,978$9,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,453.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 8,605$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.36 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…3ca8backed Under | 20c | 4,425$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.04 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 3,519$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.92 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 1,535$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.56 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 79c | 1,236$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.06 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 26c | 861.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.49 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 80c | 844.1$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.28 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 448.09$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.18 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 437.91$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 47c | 392$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.37 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 56c | 368.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.83 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 45c | 333.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +11.3wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 329.57$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.87 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 315.57$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 278$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.06 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 47c | 219.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 204.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 72c | 196.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Under | 47c | 126.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 20c | 114$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 47c | 102.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 52c | 97.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 47c | 86.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 47c | 81.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 15c | 70.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 30c | 66.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Under | 48c | 54.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 53.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 21c | 48.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…be60backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 59c | 33.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Over | 80c | 30.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…5679backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 47c | 22.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Over | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 72c | 16.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 1.5this page
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Team to AdvanceRKS Raków Częstochowa won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-2.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
- Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)Hammarby Fotboll won
- Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-2.5)Hammarby Fotboll won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.