Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e66f4da7278ce1bed12f24968bc4bb7a6a680b975b1218470663abf57df734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 357.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 278$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 40c | 253.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 66c | 253.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.07 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 248.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 60c | 235.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 195.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 185.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 54c | 164.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 59c | 94.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 29c | 54.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 51.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 47.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 46c | 45.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 44.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 68c | 43.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 60c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 70c | 21.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hammarby Fotboll vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Team to AdvanceRKS Raków Częstochowa won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-1.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
- Spread: Hammarby Fotboll (-2.5)RKS Raków Częstochowa won
- Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-1.5)Hammarby Fotboll won
- Spread: RKS Raków Częstochowa (-2.5)Hammarby Fotboll won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.