Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Jiaqi Wang vs Chenting Zhu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1587f12a3762b90aee236dcd54569c8cd1d6a5ea55567bdd0e93209c0030deef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jiaqi Wangof Jiaqi Wang, Chenting Zhu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jiaqi Wang | 66c | 3,165$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.65 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Jiaqi Wang | 48c | 2,278$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.74 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chenting Zhu | 46c | 1,327$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chenting Zhu | 45c | 1,200$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.99 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chenting Zhu | 29c | 761.85$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.97 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Chenting Zhu | 30c | 706.46$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.27 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chenting Zhu | 52c | 677.83$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.77 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Chenting Zhu | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jiaqi Wang | 53c | 561.51$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.87 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Jiaqi Wang | 54c | 552.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Chenting Zhu | 56c | 538.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chenting Zhu | 30c | 360.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chenting Zhu | 41c | 277.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.65 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chenting Zhu | 43c | 224.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Chenting Zhu | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chenting Zhu | 21c | 204.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…2cd9backed Jiaqi Wang | 55c | 199.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chenting Zhu | 45c | 191.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Jiaqi Wang | 55c | 181.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Chenting Zhu | 26c | 176$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chenting Zhu | 26c | 172.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Chenting Zhu | 59c | 167.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Chenting Zhu | 44c | 163.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Chenting Zhu | 27c | 155$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chenting Zhu | 34c | 141$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Chenting Zhu | 32c | 119.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Chenting Zhu | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Jiaqi Wang | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Jiaqi Wang | 54c | 61.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jiaqi Wang | 55c | 57.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Jiaqi Wang | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Jiaqi Wang | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…8f17backed Jiaqi Wang | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jiaqi Wang | 72c | 35.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Chenting Zhu | 52c | 35.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Chenting Zhu | 50c | 25.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Jiaqi Wang | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Chenting Zhu | 54c | 24.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Chenting Zhu | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Jiaqi Wang | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Maanshan: Jiaqi Wang vs Chenting Zhuthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wang vs ZhuWang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.