Tennis · resolved market
Birmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Himeno Sakatsume
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15914d4d40435f9a1c2798fae598fb8dc58a7b9baed4da235d32b9e07b1c6b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ashlyn Kruegerof Ashlyn Krueger, Himeno Sakatsume
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Himeno Sakatsume | 22c | 7,620$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.5 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 5,020$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.5 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Himeno Sakatsume | 9c | 3,023$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.85 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Himeno Sakatsume | 2c | 2,045$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Ashlyn Krueger | 77c | 1,727$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.6 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 1,675$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.6 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Himeno Sakatsume | 27c | 1,640$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.64 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Himeno Sakatsume | 9c | 1,444$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Himeno Sakatsume | 18c | 1,118$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 10c | 1,025$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Himeno Sakatsume | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Himeno Sakatsume | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 77c | 946.15$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Himeno Sakatsume | 10c | 848.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Himeno Sakatsume | 28c | 781.36$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.78 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Himeno Sakatsume | 27c | 582.22$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 521$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Himeno Sakatsume | 26c | 471.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 442.85$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 403.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Himeno Sakatsume | 16c | 400.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Himeno Sakatsume | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Himeno Sakatsume | 26c | 297$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 285$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Himeno Sakatsume | 12c | 276.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 270.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Himeno Sakatsume | 27c | 257$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 246.78$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Himeno Sakatsume | 28c | 246.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Himeno Sakatsume | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ashlyn Krueger | 79c | 235.26$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…6da8backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 202$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 190.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Himeno Sakatsume | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 174.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 158.94$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Himeno Sakatsume | 27c | 157$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Himeno Sakatsume | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…ed49backed Himeno Sakatsume | 26c | 132.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Himeno Sakatsume | 28c | 120.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Himeno Sakatsume | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Ashlyn Krueger | 67c | 101$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Himeno Sakatsume | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Himeno Sakatsume | 27c | 92.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Himeno Sakatsume | 12c | 88.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Himeno Sakatsume | 17c | 83.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Himeno Sakatsume | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 143 | 60.1%86 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 27c | 54.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 53.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 50.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Himeno Sakatsume | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 28.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Ashlyn Krueger | 71c | 26.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Ashlyn Krueger | 76c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 17.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.