CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15bcdc6ba42046817dab29c86c5ed037292196def21792b1e540d81112f10601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof 1WIN, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked TDK | 48c | 2,701$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.45 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN | 64c | 1,275$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.31 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 52c | 1,096$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.27 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TDK | 27c | 1,091$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed TDK | 53c | 948.67$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.07 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 1WIN | 73c | 584.28$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 68c | 537.87$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 66c | 500.25$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed 1WIN | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed TDK | 64c | 395.82$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked 1WIN | 36c | 394.55$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.7 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 1WIN | 40c | 321.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.37 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed TDK | 62c | 275.82$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.01 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed TDK | 41c | 236.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f3…110abacked 1WIN | 70c | 202.29$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 38c | 176.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1WIN | 68c | 145.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed TDK | 26c | 144.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…ef3abacked 1WIN | 63c | 122.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1WIN | 67c | 114.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 1WIN | 61c | 105.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked TDK | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 1WIN | 59c | 97.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed 1WIN | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed TDK | 36c | 78.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…8534backed 1WIN | 48c | 60.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed TDK | 22c | 56.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked 1WIN | 41c | 51.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked 1WIN | 76c | 44.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed TDK | 33c | 43.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked TDK | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 60c | 33.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 65c | 30.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed 1WIN | 52c | 29.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…e3bbbacked 1WIN | 53c | 25.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed 1WIN | 60c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.