CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16158fdec59a2c594e195ea286373b3fba7ed6062f6b46d90b1788700a9b7d55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Donstu Esports, Banger Gang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Donstu Esports | 54c | 3,405$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.32 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Banger Gang | 41c | 1,653$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Donstu Esports | 62c | 1,329$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.17 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Banger Gang | 36c | 999.03$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.56 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Donstu Esports | 79c | 603.29$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Banger Gang | 45c | 575.2$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.43 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Banger Gang | 20c | 523.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Donstu Esports | 59c | 509.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Banger Gang | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 63c | 449.8$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Banger Gang | 39c | 392.01$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Banger Gang | 47c | 331.73$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Banger Gang | 35c | 320.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Banger Gang | 38c | 314.52$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Banger Gang | 37c | 226.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 223.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Donstu Esports | 63c | 220.88$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Banger Gang | 40c | 211.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Donstu Esports | 71c | 192.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Banger Gang | 40c | 192.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Donstu Esports | 64c | 183.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a9…5862backed Donstu Esports | 54c | 181.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Banger Gang | 29c | 151$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Banger Gang | 36c | 145.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…38e1backed Banger Gang | 23c | 128.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Banger Gang | 39c | 124$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Banger Gang | 30c | 115.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Donstu Esports | 66c | 105.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Banger Gang | 18c | 92.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Donstu Esports | 66c | 91.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Donstu Esports | 58c | 86.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…86c4backed Donstu Esports | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Banger Gang | 32c | 82.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Banger Gang | 42c | 64.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Banger Gang | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Banger Gang | 49c | 57.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Banger Gang | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Banger Gang | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Donstu Esports | 57c | 46.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Banger Gang | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Donstu Esports | 62c | 40.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Banger Gang | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Banger Gang | 59c | 24.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Donstu Esports | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Donstu Esports | 72c | 20.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Donstu Esports | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed Donstu Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang - Map 2 WinnerBanger Gang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.