Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Warwickshire vs Gloucestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x161efed6bcf3b4a61c5183635e2c3d426377243fd2f42bc0a3c36aa88f1a7153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warwickshireof Warwickshire, Gloucestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gloucestershire | 20c | 1,437$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.63 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gloucestershire | 23c | 800$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gloucestershire | 14c | 549.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Warwickshire | 76c | 283.95$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Gloucestershire | 21c | 195.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Warwickshire | 69c | 179.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 106 | 70.8%75 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Warwickshire | 77c | 145.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Warwickshire | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +17.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Warwickshire | 75c | 64.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gloucestershire | 20c | 55.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Warwickshire | 75c | 47.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Warwickshire | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…a696backed Warwickshire | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…2baabacked Gloucestershire | 50c | 23.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Gloucestershire | 63c | 19.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.