Tennis · resolved market
Bratislava: Lukas Pokorny vs Alex Barrena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1625250c84b8f3ed160f7d50aef3da28c859120b17d2335ef8dcfba025722e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lukas Pokornyof Lukas Pokorny, Alex Barrena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Lukas Pokorny | 38c | 2,378$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.69 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lukas Pokorny | 79c | 1,816$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.79 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Alex Barrena | 16c | 1,532$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lukas Pokorny | 61c | 1,221$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.16 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lukas Pokorny | 74c | 1,149$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.76 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Pokorny | 75c | 1,132$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Alex Barrena | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Alex Barrena | 37c | 1,053$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.22 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Alex Barrena | 29c | 1,029$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lukas Pokorny | 77c | 965.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lukas Pokorny | 73c | 748.57$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Alex Barrena | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Barrena | 37c | 639.09$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Barrena | 62c | 578.62$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.74 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Alex Barrena | 63c | 543.08$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.14 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lukas Pokorny | 76c | 537.19$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Barrena | 13c | 534.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lukas Pokorny | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Alex Barrena | 64c | 461.54$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.39 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Alex Barrena | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alex Barrena | 10c | 217.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…2cc0backed Lukas Pokorny | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Alex Barrena | 16c | 181.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Alex Barrena | 28c | 169.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alex Barrena | 36c | 161.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Alex Barrena | 63c | 159.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Lukas Pokorny | 64c | 154.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Alex Barrena | 10c | 154.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alex Barrena | 23c | 136.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lukas Pokorny | 38c | 135.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Alex Barrena | 63c | 128$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alex Barrena | 27c | 124.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Alex Barrena | 43c | 123.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Alex Barrena | 34c | 119.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Alex Barrena | 44c | 117.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lukas Pokorny | 73c | 111.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Barrena | 27c | 106.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 97.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Lukas Pokorny | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Barrena | 63c | 83.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alex Barrena | 62c | 72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lukas Pokorny | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Lukas Pokorny | 69c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Alex Barrena | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alex Barrena | 28c | 57.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lukas Pokorny | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Alex Barrena | 63c | 41.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Lukas Pokorny | 71c | 34.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c2…626ebacked Alex Barrena | 42c | 32.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…5d46backed Alex Barrena | 46c | 31.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lukas Pokorny | 64c | 31.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Lukas Pokorny | 74c | 30.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lukas Pokorny | 54c | 30.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Alex Barrena | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Lukas Pokorny | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alex Barrena | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c2…2034backed Lukas Pokorny | 74c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.