Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Idaho Vandals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16c85867c7534b038dfe1b3a34af350db94a81c24341238925642b739967875e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Idaho Vandalsof Eastern Washington Eagles, Idaho Vandals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 29c | 3,321$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.49 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Idaho Vandals | 71c | 1,909$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 35c | 1,093$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Idaho Vandals | 65c | 1,004$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.33 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Idaho Vandals | 75c | 802.44$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.44 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 28c | 723.07$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.28 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Idaho Vandals | 69c | 700.19$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Idaho Vandals | 68c | 696.9$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.02 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 8c | 599.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 34c | 497$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 29c | 378.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Idaho Vandals | 68c | 362.58$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Idaho Vandals | 63c | 341.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 25c | 250.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Idaho Vandals | 62c | 230.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 25c | 210.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Idaho Vandals | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Idaho Vandals | 55c | 191.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Idaho Vandals | 80c | 175.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Idaho Vandals | 56c | 168.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 151.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Idaho Vandals | 67c | 93.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Idaho Vandals | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 27c | 45.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Idaho Vandals | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Idaho Vandals | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Idaho Vandals | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Idaho Vandalsthis page
- Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Idaho Vandals: O/U 156.5Over won
- Spread: Idaho Vandals (-7.5)Eastern Washington Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.