Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16f14555fba31b70870d0a716cb3318dddea4d3d0698e3f0cc41c69053d86f9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed NRG Esports | 72c | 3,699$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.68 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Winthrop University | 21c | 2,914$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.66 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Winthrop University | 31c | 2,727$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.47 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Winthrop University | 46c | 2,352$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Winthrop University | 35c | 1,924$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.77 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Winthrop University | 4c | 1,686$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NRG Esports | 70c | 1,335$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.07 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Winthrop University | 19c | 1,235$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.82 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Winthrop University | 32c | 1,107$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.96 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Winthrop University | 45c | 1,085$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.44 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed NRG Esports | 55c | 1,080$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.16 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NRG Esports | 60c | 1,034$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.62 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Winthrop University | 39c | 1,000$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.05 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked NRG Esports | 78c | 934.45$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.37 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed NRG Esports | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG Esports | 67c | 826.04$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.66 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed NRG Esports | 76c | 821.99$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Winthrop University | 26c | 714.5$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked NRG Esports | 72c | 671.98$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed NRG Esports | 75c | 666.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 230 | 53.9%124 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Winthrop University | 28c | 620$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed NRG Esports | 61c | 588.35$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.62 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Winthrop University | 28c | 579$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.12 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Winthrop University | 27c | 552.54$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked NRG Esports | 61c | 540$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Winthrop University | 26c | 427.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Winthrop University | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG Esports | 62c | 340.98$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.57 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Winthrop University | 29c | 328.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Winthrop University | 10c | 301.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG Esports | 71c | 288$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Winthrop University | 35c | 277.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed NRG Esports | 74c | 270.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed NRG Esports | 75c | 264.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 238 | 49.2%117 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Winthrop University | 6c | 248.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed NRG Esports | 77c | 240.9$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed NRG Esports | 79c | 238.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed NRG Esports | 74c | 238.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Winthrop University | 34c | 221.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Winthrop University | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed NRG Esports | 62c | 184.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG Esports | 71c | 174$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked NRG Esports | 58c | 171.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NRG Esports | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Winthrop University | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed NRG Esports | 66c | 132.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 465 | 62.4%290 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked NRG Esports | 67c | 109.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Winthrop University | 28c | 109.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0bd8backed NRG Esports | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Winthrop University | 29c | 100.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Winthrop University | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Winthrop University | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Winthrop University | 27c | 83.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Winthrop University | 32c | 83.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked NRG Esports | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…9293backed NRG Esports | 66c | 73.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked NRG Esports | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d480backed Winthrop University | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…c423backed Winthrop University | 36c | 57.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b21…1f5cbacked Winthrop University | 22c | 54.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed NRG Esports | 68c | 44.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Winthrop University | 36c | 42.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked NRG Esports | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed NRG Esports | 73c | 40.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 128 | 69.5%89 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked NRG Esports | 70c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NRG Esports | 72c | 19.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…e8c5backed NRG Esports | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed NRG Esports | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Winthrop University won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.