Fifa International · resolved market
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17be77f93cbb1f700eafc9120e876ffcc10d1333ee559bdf7925ad1a7f55c58d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 2,214$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 1,696$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.25 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 22c | 1,344$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.93 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked Over | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 1,236$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 24c | 1,080$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.68 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 891.9$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 78c | 886.5$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 19c | 735.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 20c | 364.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 71c | 357.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 19c | 303.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 61c | 299.62$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 19c | 239.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Over | 80c | 179.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 23c | 174.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 75c | 174.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Over | 80c | 131.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 80c | 125.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 20c | 119.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 118.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 19c | 94.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 90.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 80c | 81.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 76.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Under | 25c | 73.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 20c | 70.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 20c | 69.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 80c | 37.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…f863backed Over | 70c | 30.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1d5dbacked Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Over | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…3ee1backed Over | 80c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5this page
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kosovo (-1.5)Kosovo won
- Spread: Kosovo (-2.5)Kosovo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.