Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16bc0d191c420f4ab606e46c44c1288cab36859909cadb821fe6ce525387cbb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kosovoof Kosovo, Andorra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Andorra | 37c | 1,838$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.67 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Kosovo | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b7…3267backed Andorra | 47c | 784$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.86 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kosovo | 69c | 619.1$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…4834backed Kosovo | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Andorra | 42c | 473.64$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Kosovo | 46c | 437.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.86 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Kosovo | 52c | 426.43$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Kosovo | 61c | 327.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.03 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Kosovo | 49c | 289.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Kosovo | 61c | 254.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Andorra | 42c | 245$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Andorra | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Kosovo | 60c | 217$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Kosovo | 46c | 208.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Kosovo | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Kosovo | 61c | 175.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Kosovo | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andorra | 39c | 139.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Andorra | 41c | 109.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Kosovo | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Andorra | 13c | 97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kosovo | 52c | 79.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Andorra | 42c | 57.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Kosovo | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Kosovo | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Kosovo | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Kosovo | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Kosovo | 60c | 45.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4288backed Andorra | 41c | 43.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Kosovo | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Andorra | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Kosovo | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Kosovo | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Kosovo | 55c | 35.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked Kosovo | 59c | 33.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Kosovo | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Kosovo | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Kosovo | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Andorra | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Andorra | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Kosovo | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kosovo | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Kosovo | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Andorra | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Kosovo | 64c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Kosovo | 59c | 18.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kosovo (-1.5)this page
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kosovo (-2.5)Kosovo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.