CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x195fa45101d810a24f2375a0c5a818e5fa79e28624caa648a41a87ff4e18683b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 97,625$48,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,819.14 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 49c | 2,920$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.41 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 51c | 1,102$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.98 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 51c | 794.24$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 48c | 576.95$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 47c | 520.62$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.93 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 38c | 507.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 500.23$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 49c | 499.79$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.89 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 30c | 496.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Over | 50c | 409.11$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 384.21$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 53c | 280.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.61 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 269.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 48c | 245.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 226.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 49c | 120.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Over | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 48c | 98.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Under | 53c | 91.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over | 50c | 86.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…0137backed Over | 51c | 78.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3966…c918backed Over | 50c | 78.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 32c | 75.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 49c | 64.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 51c | 63.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 48c | 63.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Over | 48c | 59.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Under | 29c | 59.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 51c | 58.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bea…7020backed Over | 50c | 53.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 71c | 50.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 46c | 49.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 42.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 51c | 42.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 51c | 40.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…73f6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 51c | 38.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…4622backed Under | 52c | 37.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…29f0backed Under | 52c | 35.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 51c | 35.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 55c | 34.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked Over | 50c | 34.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 67c | 30.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…d8e4backed Under | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Over | 48c | 28.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Under | 51c | 25.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 51c | 20.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…b417backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.