Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. LNG Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a2bbb17cd64a86a18a80b0ecef989b9d7b9182b7860322d7dcf6d2a302f0ecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, LNG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed LNG Esports | 13c | 14,171$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.38 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LNG Esports | 15c | 4,846$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.92 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked LNG Esports | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed LNG Esports | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports | 17c | 1,388$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.33 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked EDward Gaming | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LNG Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed LNG Esports | 8c | 699.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked EDward Gaming | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 576$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked EDward Gaming | 76c | 493$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked EDward Gaming | 75c | 420.77$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed LNG Esports | 22c | 396$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed EDward Gaming | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 220.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked EDward Gaming | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked LNG Esports | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 125.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed EDward Gaming | 76c | 122$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked EDward Gaming | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked LNG Esports | 21c | 99.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed LNG Esports | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed EDward Gaming | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed EDward Gaming | 76c | 29.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed EDward Gaming | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.