Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Akron Zips vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a4923781557fde1082aabaa322bb9fb9282172693e7dd6b567ebe33dbdf7418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 51c | 69,700$35,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,342.62 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 18,888$9,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,632.88 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 16,211$7,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,223.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 14,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 50c | 4,632$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.92 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 4,077$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.71 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Under | 49c | 3,900$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 3,676$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 1,628$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.59 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 339.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Under | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 21c | 144.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 71.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed Under | 53c | 52.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 76c | 46.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 52c | 31.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 51c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 51c | 26.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Under | 50c | 20.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Akron Zips vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 153.5this page
- Akron Zips vs. Eastern Michigan EaglesAkron Zips won
- Akron Zips vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-11.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-12.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.