Champions League · resolved market
Palmeiras and Al Ahly: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a56c244641536a9723eb4bc20c3149bb2ef7860a35bb7cc7da33605d00dde9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 35c | 1,271$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.22 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…e870backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 55c | 788$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.51 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 32c | 514$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 51c | 511.59$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 49c | 325.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 48c | 309.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 47c | 293.4$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…79febacked Yes | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…74bebacked Yes | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked No | 73c | 274.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d7…1287backed Yes | 48c | 215$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 67c | 201.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 53c | 195$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 46c | 190.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…3d6fbacked No | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 40c | 91.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked No | 52c | 91.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 66c | 90.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…bb1cbacked Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…1d33backed Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 35c | 82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed No | 70c | 78.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8145…3155backed Yes | 49c | 73.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…5349backed Yes | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 51c | 32.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…8dc2backed Yes | 49c | 25.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.