Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs Jovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0c23722fe5ff79e93556a97a4759f52c1f4701a197cd21af3b5de0763c15cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jovicof Pegula, Jovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jovic | 49c | 4,272$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Pegula | 61c | 3,163$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.17 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jovic | 73c | 3,124$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.34 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Pegula | 52c | 2,094$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.99 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Jovic | 36c | 1,462$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.86 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pegula | 43c | 1,402$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.72 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Pegula | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Pegula | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pegula | 25c | 405.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Jovic | 34c | 363$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.79 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pegula | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Pegula | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Pegula | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Pegula | 40c | 190.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Pegula | 26c | 176.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Pegula | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jovic | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pegula | 25c | 116.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jovic | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Jovic | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Pegula | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Jovic | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jovic | 36c | 71.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…f88fbacked Pegula | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Pegula | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jovic | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Pegula | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Jovic | 56c | 52.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Pegula | 54c | 33.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Jovic | 42c | 29.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Jovic | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Pegula | 58c | 24.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Pegula | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Pegula | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs Jovicthis page
- Jessica Pegula vs. Iva Jovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Pegula vs. Jovic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Pegula vs JovicPegula won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)Jovic won
- Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva JovicJessica Pegula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.