Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs ONSIDE GAMING (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b98d42bffe48cf37d432c2a567fb5c4ebbd8b58532f2ca7a48e5a63b66ac75f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, ONSIDE GAMING
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd4a…f91cbacked Paper Rex | 50c | 1,252$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ONSIDE GAMING | 50c | 1,234$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.99 | 558 | 52.2%291 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Paper Rex | 43c | 388.56$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.78 | 207 | 61.4%127 W · 80 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed ONSIDE GAMING | 57c | 264.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed ONSIDE GAMING | 57c | 166.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed ONSIDE GAMING | 52c | 80.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ONSIDE GAMING | 55c | 58.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 686 | 50.4%346 W · 340 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed ONSIDE GAMING | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…f10fbacked Paper Rex | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…a2cdbacked Paper Rex | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Paper Rex | 48c | 39.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 958 | 49.6%475 W · 483 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Paper Rex | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…f032backed Paper Rex | 47c | 33.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Paper Rex | 48c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 427 | 47.1%201 W · 226 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ONSIDE GAMING | 53c | 23.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 651 | 47.5%309 W · 342 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Paper Rex | 61c | 20.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed ONSIDE GAMING | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed ONSIDE GAMING | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs ONSIDE GAMING (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.