Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9ca792ea03d10453a319d8e2d1c59e9e92be31692ef3a0ec822b015805e1f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, ONSIDE GAMING
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked ONSIDE GAMING | 1c | 2,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…5f5abacked ONSIDE GAMING | 66c | 1,340$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…881bbacked Paper Rex | 34c | 1,025$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +111%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed Paper Rex | 47c | 1,010$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.42 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ONSIDE GAMING | 13c | 653.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 229 | 17.5%40 W · 189 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Paper Rex | 38c | 447.41$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.01 | 1,294 | 32.4%419 W · 875 L | -65.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed Paper Rex | 66c | 444.23$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Paper Rex | 69c | 439.5$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 1,271 | 49.6%630 W · 641 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Paper Rex | 50c | 386.97$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.13 | 907 | 44.4%403 W · 504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paper Rex | 79c | 377.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 1,375 | 39%536 W · 839 L | -59.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ONSIDE GAMING | 57c | 329.11$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 1,434 | 51.1%733 W · 701 L | +48.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 28c | 325.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1,629 | 45%733 W · 896 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed ONSIDE GAMING | 20c | 319.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed ONSIDE GAMING | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 44c | 273.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…d11ebacked ONSIDE GAMING | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed ONSIDE GAMING | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 290 | 45.2%131 W · 159 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Paper Rex | 67c | 216.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed ONSIDE GAMING | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…c769backed ONSIDE GAMING | 53c | 189.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Paper Rex | 57c | 176.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 228 | 39.9%91 W · 137 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Paper Rex | 36c | 167.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed ONSIDE GAMING | 61c | 164.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ONSIDE GAMING | 41c | 158.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 1,517 | 46.6%707 W · 810 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 58c | 157.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 77c | 153.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed ONSIDE GAMING | 43c | 137.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed ONSIDE GAMING | 64c | 117.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed ONSIDE GAMING | 67c | 102.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 291 | 40.9%119 W · 172 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…ed50backed Paper Rex | 67c | 101.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…0f13backed Paper Rex | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 23c | 98.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 720 | 43.3%312 W · 408 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ONSIDE GAMING | 55c | 97.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 1,329 | 43.6%580 W · 749 L | -47.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed ONSIDE GAMING | 61c | 97.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked ONSIDE GAMING | 62c | 97.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed ONSIDE GAMING | 59c | 94.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 128 | 71.1%91 W · 37 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f4…c220backed Paper Rex | 48c | 90.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Paper Rex | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 17c | 86.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 524 | 44.7%234 W · 290 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed ONSIDE GAMING | 42c | 86.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 229 | 56.8%130 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Paper Rex | 66c | 79.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed ONSIDE GAMING | 53c | 78.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 227 | 55.5%126 W · 101 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1924…8e55backed ONSIDE GAMING | 36c | 78.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Paper Rex | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed ONSIDE GAMING | 63c | 69.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…dac8backed ONSIDE GAMING | 70c | 59.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 53.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 359 | 56%201 W · 158 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ONSIDE GAMING | 48c | 52.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 427 | 47.1%201 W · 226 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…9200backed ONSIDE GAMING | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed ONSIDE GAMING | 61c | 48.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 48c | 45.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 591 | 50.8%300 W · 291 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed ONSIDE GAMING | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…d8e8backed ONSIDE GAMING | 34c | 43.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ONSIDE GAMING | 34c | 43.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 183 | 48.1%88 W · 95 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Paper Rex | 63c | 42.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 958 | 49.6%475 W · 483 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Paper Rex | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…95febacked Paper Rex | 78c | 37.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf161…0d3dbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed ONSIDE GAMING | 47c | 34.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 52c | 32.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 1,396 | 47.3%661 W · 735 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed ONSIDE GAMING | 31c | 32.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 546 | 41.8%228 W · 318 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…888bbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 44c | 32.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Paper Rex | 61c | 31.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed ONSIDE GAMING | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Paper Rex | 66c | 30.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…6254backed Paper Rex | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Paper Rex | 64c | 30.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 929 | 33.2%308 W · 621 L | -91.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed ONSIDE GAMING | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 449 | 42.8%192 W · 257 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Paper Rex | 77c | 23.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 799 | 44.3%354 W · 445 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Paper Rex | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 1,006 | 45.9%462 W · 544 L | -28.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…9b8fbacked ONSIDE GAMING | 59c | 20.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Paper Rex | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Paper Rex | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs ONSIDE GAMING (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.